Thursday, August 1, 2019

Can Salvini’s national populist League party become Italy’s most popular post-war party?

Support for Matteo Salvini’s national populist League party continues to soar with trends showing it could climb as high 40%.
According to a report from the Italian newspaper Il Giornale, the poll results from polling firm SWG conducted on behalf of the TV program La7 showed greater support for the League party, increasing 2% to 38% and trending toward 40%.
If carried forward into a national election, the current trend could place Salvini’s League as one of the country’s most popular post-WW2 parties since 1948, when the Christian Democracy party captured a record 48.5% of the vote.
Since it garnered 31.1% of the vote in Italy’s 2018, the 5 Star Movement (M5S) – the League’s coalition partner – has lost about half of its supporters. Recent polls suggest that only 17.3% of Italian voters still support the left-wing populist party.
Polling data suggests that support for the left-wing Democratic Party (PD) has now eclipsed support for 5 Star Movement’s with its 5% increase to 22%. In May’s European Parliament Elections, the Democratic Party also came in 2nd after the League.
The League’s 2018 election ally, Brothers of Italy led by Georgia Meloni is now polling at 6.6%, just ahead of former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi’s center-right Forza Italia party (Forward Italy) that sits at 6.5%
The poll comes as the future of the right and left-wing populist coalition government remains uncertain. The fundamentally distinct philosophies of Salvini and M5S’s leader Luigi Di Maio have caused a substantial amount of friction between the 2 coalition partners. Some have speculated that the government could very well collapse in the coming months and thus lead to early snap elections in the fall.
Earlier in the week, Il Giornale reported on a potential partnership between the Democratic Party (PD) and M5S after the former PD secretary in Sicily claimed he was expelled from the party for publicly saying ‘no’ to an alliance between the 2 left-wing parties.

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