Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Brexit Party Rises in the Polls, as Leave Supporters Back Election Pact
The Brexit Party has seen a rise in the polls, as a separate study found that Nigel Farage was influential enough to persuade three in ten Labour Leavers to vote for a Tory Brexiteer.
A ComRes poll has found that the point spread between the 4 largest parties is narrowing, with the Conservatives and Labour jointly on 27%, the pro-EU Liberal Democrats on 20% and the Brexit Party on 17%, having gained 4 points since the last survey.
With the Brexit Party again rising in the polls in the wake of the Conservative government losing a Supreme Court case on proroguing parliament and Labour turning its back on its Brexit supporters, a separate poll found that more Leave voters are looking to Nigel Farage for guidance on voting.
Data from ComRes commissioned by Britain Elects suggested that Brexiteers may employ tactical voting at the next General Election, with 43% of those polled saying they were more likely to vote for a Leave-supporting Conservative candidate if Nigel Farage endorsed them compared to just 11% who said they'd be less likely.
Notably, nearly 1-3rd, 28%, of Labour Leavers would be "more likely" to vote for a Leaver Tory in their constituency if Nigel Farage endorsed them.
A majority, 60%, of Leave voters also said they'd "vote for the party in favour of Brexit that had the best chance of winning" if the party they traditionally vote for didn't have a chance of winning in their constituency.
On the issue of a non-aggression pact, where the Conservatives and Brexit Party would agree to the tactical standing of candidates so as not to split the Leave-supporting vote, 57% of 2016 Leave voters agree a pact is the best chance for Brexit to happen, with 63% of Tory voters and 79% Brexit Party supporters agreeing.
Founder of Britain Elects, Ben Walker, said: "The data we've commissioned offers further evidence to the fact British politics is experiencing a realignment where a number of Labour Leave voters are considering voting Conservative in order to see a Brexit supporting candidate win.
"What the data also shows is that Nigel Farage, once the stepping stone for sending former Labour voters gone UKIP over to the Conservatives, has sizeable influence in pushing Leave voters in a certain direction.
"This, and the willingness for a pact from both current Conservative and Brexit Party voters is significant insofar as it suggests the Leave vote could be less likely to fragment between the 2 parties in a constituency than we previously thought."
Mr Farage’s frequent calls for an election pact have been rejected, however, with a spokesman for Boris Johnson’s team saying he wasn't a "fit and proper" person to be allowed near government, the prime minister later promising he wouldn't sign a pact with the Brexit Party.
Farage wrote on Tuesday night that Johnson had made a "huge mistake" in turning down the pact, saying such a deal he "was a logical and winning formula that would've guaranteed killing 2 birds with 1 stone: delivering a clean break Brexit; and smashing the undemocratic Lib Dems and increasingly dangerous Labour Party. Yet he's turned up his nose at this opportunity. I think he's made a huge mistake."
at 4:30 PM